Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2024

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat · Apr 5, 2024

Updated Apr 6, 2024 12:37 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 62.1% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 9.4% higher than he's converted in all games this year.
Bam Adebayo has made 59.1% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 25.0% more than he's converted from downtown overall this season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo ranks in the 93rd percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 34.2 minutes per game this year.
When it comes to 3-point attempts, the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Heat.
The rate of 3-pointers scored against Jabari Smith Jr. has been quite high (39.9%) when he is on his home court and matched up against other starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).

Favors Under

Bam Adebayo has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (80th percentile).
The most sluggish tempo road team in the league this year has been the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bam Adebayo will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduce stat production for all stats.

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