Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2024

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks · Apr 2, 2024

Updated Apr 2, 2024 10:32 PM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-142/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has made 61.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 8.4% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.
Bam Adebayo has sunk 55.0% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 24.1% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this season.
Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo comes in at the 90th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 33.5 minutes per game at home this year.
The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league as the home team this year.
The matchup vs. Isaiah Hartenstein is a strong one for shots from downtown; when Hartenstein is on the road opposing starting Cs this year, they have converted a monstrous 46.4% of their 3-point shots (100th percentile).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo registers in the 76th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.2 fouls per game on his home court this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league this year.
The Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should decrease possessions for the Miami Heat.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA on their home court with a mere 8.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

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