Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2024

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat · Mar 17, 2024

Updated Mar 17, 2024 11:02 PM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-141/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has made 66.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 45.2% higher than he's converted from three overall this year.
Bam Adebayo has been on the court for 34.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 94th percentile.
The Miami Heat have been the 9th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup against Jalen Duren is a good one for field goals; when Duren is playing at home fellow starting Cs this year, they have sunk a colossal 61.9% of their shots from the field (93rd percentile).
The Miami Heat will likely see a rise in possessions today from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Pistons).

Favors Under

Bam Adebayo has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (84th percentile).
The 2nd-slowest pace road offense in the league this year has been the Heat.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 3rdworst in in the league when playing on the road with a mere 9.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
Bam Adebayo has sunk 61.6% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 12.6% lower than he's put through the hoop overall this year.
Bam Adebayo will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens player production for all stats.

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