Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 3/13/2024

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 13, 2024

Updated Mar 14, 2024 3:02 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-139/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -152 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo places in the 87th percentile, posting a colossal 19.4 points per game while on his home court this year.
Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo ranks in the 90th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 33.9 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
When it comes to 3-point shots, the Miami Heat's terrific 38.8% rate of converted threes while playing at home comes in as the 4th-best in the league this year.
In contrast to last season's 5.1 mark, Bam Adebayo's number of foul shot attempts has surged this season to 6.1 foul shot attempts per game.
Bam Adebayo is expected to see a rise in production for all stats on account of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Bam Adebayo has attempted 0.3 3-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 12th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The rate of field goals made against Nikola Jokic has been remarkably low (53.6%) when he is on the road and guarding fellow starting Cs this year (17th percentile).
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Miami Heat.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with just 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.

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