Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat · Mar 7, 2024

Updated Mar 8, 2024 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-130/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 7.8 shots made from the field per game this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the NBA.
Bam Adebayo has been on the court for 34.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 94th percentile.
With respect to threes, the Miami Heat's impressive 37.6% rate of made threes measures as the 7th-highest in the NBA this year.
When on his home court and guarding opposing starting Cs, Daniel Gafford ranks in the 97th percentile with an enormous 2.3 3-pointers attempted against him per game this year.
The Miami Heat are expected to see a rise in plays today from facing the 3rd-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Mavericks).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo rates in the 7th percentile for three-point effectiveness while playing away from home with a a weak 0.0% rate this year.
The slowest pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Miami Heat.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 3rdworst in in the NBA away from their home court with only 9.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
When playing at home, the Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bam Adebayo will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually decreases stat production in all stat categories.