Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 2/29/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat · Feb 29, 2024

Updated Mar 1, 2024 3:02 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -143 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 58.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 6.1% more than he's made in all games this season.
Bam Adebayo has tallied 34.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 94th percentile.
In regard to threes, the Miami Heat's remarkable 42.9% rate of successful threes ranks 3rd-highest in the league over the last 5 games.
Over the last 5 games, their opposition has averaged 34.1% on 3-pointers (8th-lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, marking this as a difficult matchup.
When defending other starting Cs, Nikola Jokic slots into the 93rd percentile with a colossal 11.7 field goal attempts against him per game this year.

Favors Under

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 0.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 7th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games as the away team.
The Miami Heat are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from competing against the 4th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).
The Miami Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Denver Nuggets have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).