Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2024

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat · Feb 23, 2024

Updated Feb 24, 2024 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has sunk 61.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 10.2% more than he's converted overall this year.
Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo registers in the 94th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 34.5 minutes per game this year.
The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The rate of field goals converted against Jonas Valanciunas has been remarkably high (62.3%) when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).
The Miami Heat are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Favors Under

Bam Adebayo has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (84th percentile).
The Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing away from home.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the league as the away team with only 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.
Playing at home, the New Orleans Pelicans have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
In contrast to last season's 1.0 mark, Bam Adebayo's bricked free throws have risen this season to 1.4 per game.

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