Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Feb 1, 2024 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has sunk 7.6 shots made from the field per game this year, placing him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Bam Adebayo has been on the court for 34.3 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Miami Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games at home.
This year, the other team has collected 9.3 offensive boards per game (fewest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings (lessening possessions that could otherwise lead to additional chances for offense).
Bam Adebayo has attempted 6.9 foul shots per game this season, significantly more than his 5.1 rate last season.

Favors Under

Bam Adebayo has attempted 0.2 treys per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 13th percentile out of all players in the league.
This matchup is a strong one for shots from the field; opposing clubs have compiled the 10th-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (48.4%).
The number of points notched against Domantas Sabonis has been very low (10.9 per game) when he is on the visiting team and defending other starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
The most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Heat.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.

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