Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 24, 2024

Updated Jan 25, 2024 3:33 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo lands in the 91st percentile for shots converted, tallying a massive 7.9 per game this year.
Bam Adebayo has been on the court for 34.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
With respect to 3-point shots, the Heat's outstanding 40.4% rate of made threes while playing at home comes in as the 2nd-most in the league this year.
The Miami Heat are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from competing against the 10th-fastest pace-of-play road offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies).
The Grizzlies have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.4) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo measures in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 2.3 fouls per game while playing at home this year.
This year, opposing clubs have shot 38.5% on three-pointers (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, identifying this as a favorable matchup.
The matchup with Jaren Jackson Jr. measures in the 10th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs making a mere 0.3 threes per game this year when they are at home.
The 2nd-most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).