Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 18, 2024 12:37 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has notched 21.7 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 92nd percentile.
Bam Adebayo has averaged 34.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 95th percentile.
In regard to threes, the Miami Heat's terrific 38.4% rate of drained threes ranks 3rd-most in the league this year.
The clash with Jontay Porter measures in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs registering a whopping 16.6 points per game since the start of last season.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Heat.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo registers in the 8th percentile for 3-point proficiency while playing away from home with a a weak 0.0% rate this year.
The slowest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Miami Heat.
The Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bam Adebayo figures to experience a decrease in output in all stat categories on account of being on the road in this matchup.

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