Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 13, 2024 2:28 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo registers in the 91st percentile for shots from the field hit, tallying an enormous 8.0 per game this year.
Bam Adebayo has made 50.0% of his shots from downtown at home this year, placing him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league.
Bam Adebayo has tallied 33.3 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA playing at home this year.
The Magic have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Over the last 5 games when they are at home, their opposition has averaged 50.5% on shots from the field (5th-best in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic, designating this as a positive matchup.
The matchup with Goga Bitadze registers in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs converting a mere 0.3 3-pointers per game this year.
The 3rd-slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Heat.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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