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Bam Adebayo

Bam Adebayo Points
Player Prop - 1/5/2024

Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo comes in at the 91st percentile, tallying a colossal 21.7 points per game this year.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo measures in the 91st percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 34.3 minutes per game this year.
  • With respect to three-pointers, the Heat's outstanding 13.1 drained threes per game while on the road comes in as the 9th-most in the league over the last 10 games.
  • The rate of shots from downtown hit against Jusuf Nurkic has been very high (50.7%) when facing fellow starting Cs this year (97th percentile).
  • The Suns have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Heat.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo rates in the 9th percentile for 3-point ability with a a subpar 16.7% rate this year.
  • The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league when playing on the road this year.
  • The Miami Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
  • The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Jusuf Nurkic has been remarkably low this year (2.2 foul shots per game when they have the home court advantage: 17th percentile).
  • Bam Adebayo will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player production across the board.

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