Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 3:25 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo comes in at the 91st percentile, tallying a colossal 21.7 points per game this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo measures in the 91st percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 34.3 minutes per game this year.
With respect to three-pointers, the Heat's outstanding 13.1 drained threes per game while on the road comes in as the 9th-most in the league over the last 10 games.
The rate of shots from downtown hit against Jusuf Nurkic has been very high (50.7%) when facing fellow starting Cs this year (97th percentile).
The Suns have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Heat.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo rates in the 9th percentile for 3-point ability with a a subpar 16.7% rate this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league when playing on the road this year.
The Miami Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Jusuf Nurkic has been remarkably low this year (2.2 foul shots per game when they have the home court advantage: 17th percentile).
Bam Adebayo will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player production across the board.

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