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Bam Adebayo

Bam Adebayo Points
Player Prop - 11/12/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-115/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Relative to last year's 20.2 rate, Bam Adebayo's points per game have spiked this year to 25.5.
  • Bam Adebayo has tallied 34.3 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
  • The Miami Heat have been the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league since the start of last season with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
  • Since the start of last season, opposing starting Cs have averaged 6.6 baskets per game (29th-most in the league) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, creating a favorable matchup.
  • The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 6th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA this year (the San Antonio Spurs).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Bam Adebayo has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 2.9 fouls per game last year.
  • Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 7thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with only 8.6 offensive boards per game this year.
  • This year, opposing clubs have grabbed 12.5 offensive rebounds per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Spurs (retaining possessions that can result in added chances for offense).
  • The matchup vs. the San Antonio Spurs is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a measly 2.3 free throws per game this year (7th-least in the league).
  • Bam Adebayo will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces stat production for all stats.

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