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Bam Adebayo

Bam Adebayo Points
Player Prop - 6/7/2023

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Bam Adebayo has been on the court for 34.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
  • The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of 3-point attempts.
  • The matchup against Denver is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Nuggets are on the road, the opposing team's starting Cs have put up the 26th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (38.6%).
  • Bam Adebayo has made 91.7% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 13.8% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year.
  • The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting Cs have attempted a whopping 4.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (26th-most in the NBA).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Bam Adebayo has made 7.1% of his attempts from downtown this year, ranking in the 6th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
  • Bam Adebayo has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
  • The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
  • The Nuggets have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to fewer plays for the Heat.
  • The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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