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Bam Adebayo

Bam Adebayo Points
Player Prop - 6/4/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bam Adebayo has made 7.7 baskets per game this year, ranking in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Bam Adebayo has averaged 34.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 94th percentile.

The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA while on the road this year in terms of 3-point attempts.

The Nuggets have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo has attempted 5.1 foul shots per game this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 11.1% of his three-pointers on the road this year, ranking in the 8th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The matchup vs. Denver is a tough one for threes; when the Nuggets are playing at home, the opposition's starting Cs have tallied the 5th-least 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (0.3).

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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