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Bam Adebayo

Bam Adebayo Points
Player Prop - 6/1/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Bam Adebayo has tallied 34.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 93rd percentile.
  • The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road as it relates to three-point attempts.
  • The Nuggets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.9) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Bam Adebayo has converted 85.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 8.1% more than he's sunk in all games this year away from his home court.
  • The matchup against the Nuggets may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a monstrous 4.5 free throws per game over the last 15 games (27th-most in the league).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Bam Adebayo has successfully made 12.5% of his attempts from downtown while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 8th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
  • Bam Adebayo has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 0.8 more than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road.
  • The matchup vs. Denver is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when the Nuggets are playing at home, the opposition's starting Cs have averaged the 5th-least 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (0.3).
  • The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing on the road.
  • The Nuggets have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which should decrease opportunities for the Heat.

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