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Bam Adebayo

Bam Adebayo Points
Player Prop - 5/17/2023

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bam Adebayo has sunk 7.8 buckets per game this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league.

Bam Adebayo has tallied 34.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 93rd percentile.

The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage when it comes to attempts from downtown.

The matchup vs. the Celtics is a positive one for attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting Cs have tallied the 25th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (1.6).

With the home court advantage, the Celtics have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.2) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 12.5% of his 3-point attempts without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 8th percentile out of all players in the league.

Bam Adebayo has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while playing on the road.

The Celtics have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Heat.

The Miami Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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