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Bam Adebayo

Bam Adebayo Points
Player Prop - 5/12/2023

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks

 
 
 
Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Bam Adebayo has attempted 14.7 shots per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 12.2 rate last year.
  • Bam Adebayo has been on the court for 34.0 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
  • The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc.
  • The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup against the Knicks may be a good one for drawing fouls; opposing starting Cs have attempted a colossal 4.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (24th-most in the league).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Bam Adebayo has converted 7.7% of his three-pointers this year, putting him in the 6th percentile out of all players in the league.
  • Bam Adebayo has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (92nd percentile).
  • The matchup against New York is a difficult one for scoring; when the Knicks are on the road, the opposing team's starting Cs have averaged the 14th-least shots made from the field per game in the league this year (4.8).
  • The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year.
  • The Knicks have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat.

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