Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 5/8/2023

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks · May 8, 2023

Updated May 8, 2023 10:56 PM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has attempted 14.7 shots per game this season, quite a bit more than his 12.2 rate last season.
Bam Adebayo has tallied 33.9 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as it relates to attempts from downtown.
The Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bam Adebayo has made 85.3% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 7.8% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Bam Adebayo has been called for 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's been called for overall this year.
The matchup vs. the Knicks is a challenging one for shots from the field; the other team's starting Cs have tallied the 15th-least shots made from the field per game in the league this year (4.8).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year.
The Knicks have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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