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Bam Adebayo

Bam Adebayo Points
Player Prop - 4/14/2023

Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bam Adebayo has attempted 14.8 shots per game this year, significantly more than his 12.2 mark last year.

Bam Adebayo has averaged 34.0 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.

The matchup against the Bulls is a good one for attempts from beyond the arc; opposing starting Cs have averaged the 23rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (1.6).

When playing on the road, the Bulls have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bam Adebayo has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (90th percentile).

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games.

The Bulls have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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