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Bam Adebayo

Bam Adebayo Points
Player Prop - 4/11/2023

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bam Adebayo has attempted 14.9 shots per game this year, a big improvement over his 12.2 mark last year.

Bam Adebayo has averaged 33.8 minutes per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to three-point attempts.

The Hawks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Heat.

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 5.2 free throws per game over the last 15 games at home, 1.0 more than he's made in all games this season when playing at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bam Adebayo has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (90th percentile).

The matchup against Atlanta is a challenging one for threes; when the Hawks are away from home, the opposition's starting Cs have put up the 14th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (23.0%).

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Without the home court advantage, the Hawks have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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