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Bam Adebayo

Bam Adebayo Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2023

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bam Adebayo has made a terrific 8.2 shots made from the field per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 6.9 mark last year.

Bam Adebayo has converted a whopping 9.1% of his attempts from downtown this season, a significant increase from his 0.0 rate last season.

Bam Adebayo has been on the court for 34.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 95th percentile.

The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the NBA away from their home court this year in terms of attempts from downtown.

Bam Adebayo has attempted 5.5 free throws per game this year, placing him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Pistons is a hard one for threes; the other team's starting Cs have shot for the 15th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (23.5%).

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Pistons have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games at home, which should decrease possessions for the Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

The Pistons have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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