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Bam Adebayo

Bam Adebayo Points
Player Prop - 3/11/2023

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bam Adebayo has converted 8.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's converted in all games this year.

Bam Adebayo has played 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 higher than he's played in all games this season.

The Magic have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Heat.

The Miami Heat have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo has made 86.7% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 10.5% higher than he's converted in all games this season on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bam Adebayo has tallied 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (96th percentile).

The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The matchup vs. the Magic is a challenging one for attempts from beyond the arc; opposing starting Cs have totaled the 15th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (0.9).

The matchup against Wendell Carter Jr. is a tough one for shots from the field; when Carter Jr. is playing at home and defending opposing starting Cs this year, they have converted just 53.3% of their field goal attempts (23rd percentile).

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

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