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Bam Adebayo

Bam Adebayo Points
Player Prop - 2/11/2023

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bam Adebayo has made a terrific 8.6 buckets per game this season, significantly more than his 6.9 rate last season.

Bam Adebayo has successfully made a whopping 11.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this season, a big improvement over his 0.0 rate last season.

Bam Adebayo has averaged 34.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 94th percentile.

The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Wendell Carter Jr. is a favorable one for drawing fouls; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 3.8 free throws per game (83rd percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bam Adebayo has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The Miami Heat check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. Wendell Carter Jr. is a challenging one for 3-point attempts; when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 1.3 treys per game (24th percentile).

The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Magic have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games at home, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Heat.

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