Bam Adebayo Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2025

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Assists

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic · Jan 27, 2025

Updated Jan 28, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-154/+126).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -146 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -154.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has posted 4.7 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the league leaders by this standard recently: 88th percentile.
Bam Adebayo has tallied 31.3 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
Bam Adebayo will likely see a spike in efficiency for all stats in light of having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The 2nd-most sluggish pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Heat.
The Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from being pitted against the least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year (the Orlando Magic).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league with just 8.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

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