Bam Adebayo Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2025

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Assists

Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat · Jan 11, 2025

Updated Jan 12, 2025 12:04 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-185/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -185.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has averaged 4.2 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the best in the NBA by this standard over this stretch of games: 87th percentile.
Bam Adebayo has averaged 34.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 92nd percentile.

Favors Under

The 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Heat.
The Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Bam Adebayo ought to suffer a drop-off in production in all facets of the game in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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