Bam Adebayo Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2024

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat · Mar 17, 2024

Updated Mar 17, 2024 11:02 PM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-159/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -148 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -159.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has averaged 4.0 assists per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this standard: 86th percentile.
Bam Adebayo has been on the court for 34.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 94th percentile.
The Miami Heat will likely see a rise in possessions today from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Pistons).

Favors Under

Bam Adebayo has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (84th percentile).
The 2nd-slowest pace road offense in the league this year has been the Heat.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 3rdworst in in the league when playing on the road with a mere 9.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
Bam Adebayo will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens player production for all stats.

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