Bam Adebayo Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2024

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Assists

Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat · Feb 27, 2024

Updated Feb 28, 2024 2:58 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has tallied 5.4 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.
Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo registers in the 95th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 34.6 minutes per game this year.
This year when they are on the road, the other team has secured 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (losing possessions that could otherwise create extra opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo rates in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.4 fouls per game this year.
The least up-tempo tempo road team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Miami Heat.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA on their home court this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Miami Heat.
The Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Bam Adebayo will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to lower player performance in all stat categories.

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