Bam Adebayo Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2024

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Assists

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat · Feb 26, 2024

Updated Feb 27, 2024 3:17 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has compiled an impressive 4.1 assists per game this season, quite a bit more than his 3.3 assists per game last season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo places in the 94th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 34.6 minutes per game this year.
The Miami Heat are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Kings).
The Sacramento Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bam Adebayo has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (85th percentile).
The least up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Heat.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the NBA away from their home court with a mere 9.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Bam Adebayo will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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