Bam Adebayo Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2024

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Assists

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic · Feb 6, 2024

Updated Feb 7, 2024 3:07 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has tallied 4.8 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the best in the league by this metric over this stretch: 89th percentile.
Bam Adebayo has tallied 34.2 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Orlando Magic have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (6.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bam Adebayo should get a boost in effectiveness across the board considering having the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo lands in the 75th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a massive 2.3 fouls per game while playing at home this year.
The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Heat.
The Orlando Magic have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Heat.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 6thworst in in the league with just 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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