Bam Adebayo Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2023

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Assists

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers · Dec 25, 2023

Updated Dec 26, 2023 12:38 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has totaled 4.7 assists per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric.
Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo rates in the 85th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 32.8 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
The 76ers have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Miami Heat.
When playing on the road, the Philadelphia 76ers have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.8) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Bam Adebayo will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually increases player production across the board.

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

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