Bam Adebayo Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/2/2023

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Assists

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat · May 2, 2023

Updated May 2, 2023 11:36 PM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+130/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has averaged 3.3 assists per game this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- among the hottest players in the NBA by this metric over this stretch of games.
Bam Adebayo has averaged 34.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 93rd percentile.
The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from home.
The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bam Adebayo has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Knicks have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bam Adebayo will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player performance across the board.

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