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Bam Adebayo

Bam Adebayo Assists
Player Prop - 4/14/2023

Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls

Bam Adebayo Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-170/+138).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -172 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bam Adebayo has posted 3.1 assists per game this year at home, putting him among the hottest players in the league by this metric over this stretch: 79th percentile.

Bam Adebayo has averaged 34.0 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

When playing on the road, the Bulls have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts stat production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bam Adebayo has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (90th percentile).

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games.

The Bulls have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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