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Bam Adebayo

Bam Adebayo Assists
Player Prop - 4/11/2023

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks

Bam Adebayo Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-180/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -180.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bam Adebayo has totaled 3.0 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the league leaders by this metric over this stretch: 79th percentile.

Bam Adebayo has averaged 33.8 minutes per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The Hawks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Heat.

Bam Adebayo will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally increases stat production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bam Adebayo has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (90th percentile).

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Without the home court advantage, the Hawks have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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