Bam Adebayo Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2023

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Assists

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic · Jan 27, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-155).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has compiled 3.0 assists per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this metric: 78th percentile.
Bam Adebayo has tallied 34.6 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home (which also lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Heat have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Magic.
Bam Adebayo will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Bam Adebayo has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 87th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Magic have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games when playing on the road (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games at home.

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