Ayo Dosunmu Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Ayo Dosunmu

NBA · Player Props

Ayo Dosunmu

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 1:20 AM EST

Analysis

Ayo Dosunmu Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ayo Dosunmu has attempted 13.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 more than he's attempted overall this season.
Ayo Dosunmu has tallied 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.3 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 2.5 3-pointers per game (28th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Hornets, marking this as a positive matchup.
The Chicago Bulls check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Charlotte Hornets may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 4.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games (27th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Ayo Dosunmu has sunk 25.2% of his 3-pointers this year, placing him in the 21st percentile among all players in the NBA.
In terms of offense, the Bulls's lackluster 108.1 points per game comes in as the worst in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The least up-tempo pace offense in the league this year has been the Bulls.
The Chicago Bulls are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from facing the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Hornets).
Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, opposing clubs have brought down 12.4 offensive boards per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Hornets (lengthening possessions that can bring about added opportunities for offense).

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