Ayo Dosunmu Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2023

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Ayo Dosunmu

NBA · Player Props

Ayo Dosunmu

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 23, 2023

Updated Dec 24, 2023 1:15 AM EST

Analysis

Ayo Dosunmu Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-132/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Bulls grade out 4thbest in in the league with 13.1 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
The Cavaliers have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Ayo Dosunmu has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 14.3% more than he's made overall this year playing at home.
Ayo Dosunmu ought to see a rise in efficiency in all stat categories considering controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The Bulls have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
Over the last 5 games, the other team has registered 120.8 points per game (10th-highest in the league) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, identifying this as a good matchup for offensive productivity.
The most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Bulls.
The Bulls will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).
This year when they are at home, opposing teams have attempted 24.7 foul shots per game (9th-highest in the NBA) against the Cavaliers, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

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