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Ayo Dosunmu

Ayo Dosunmu Points
Player Prop - 12/14/2023

Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls

Ayo Dosunmu Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Ayo Dosunmu has tallied 28.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 9.5 more than he's tallied overall this season on the road.

The Bulls will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-most up-tempo pace visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Heat).

The Chicago Bulls rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

The Miami Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

This year, opposing squads have attempted 20.0 foul shots per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Ayo Dosunmu has converted just 38.2% of his shots from the field this season, a significant dropoff from his 49.8 rate last season.

The Chicago Bulls have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

This matchup is a good one for field goals; when the Miami Heat are away from home, opposing teams have compiled the highest field goal percentage in the NBA against them this year (51.7%).

The most sluggish tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Chicago Bulls.

In comparison to last season's 0.6 mark, Ayo Dosunmu's foul shots scored have diminished this season to 0.2 per game.

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