Ayo Dosunmu Points - Player Prop Bet 2/16/2023

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Ayo Dosunmu

NBA · Player Props

Ayo Dosunmu

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks · Feb 16, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Ayo Dosunmu Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ayo Dosunmu has successfully made 56.3% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 23.1% more than he's converted from three overall this season with the home court advantage.
Ayo Dosunmu has been on the court for 33.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home.
The matchup against Jrue Holiday is a favorable one for scoring; when Holiday is away from his home court opposing starting PGs this year, they have sunk a monstrous 50.1% of their shots from the field (100th percentile).
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the league over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

Ayo Dosunmu has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (83rd percentile).
The Chicago Bulls check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Jrue Holiday is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; when squaring off against opposing starting PGs this year, they have attempted just 3.3 foul shots per game (17th percentile).

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