Austin Reaves Steals - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Steals

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 3:14 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-200/+154).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -158 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -200.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has averaged 0.9 steals per game this year at home, placing him among the best in the league by this metric in recent days: 80th percentile.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.
Austin Reaves will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally increases stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA while traveling this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Los Angeles Lakers.

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