Austin Reaves Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2024

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Rebounds

Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 6, 2024

Updated Mar 7, 2024 3:42 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-160/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has posted 4.6 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's posted overall this year.
Austin Reaves has averaged 30.9 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The 4th-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Lakers.
The Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Austin Reaves ought to see a spike in effectiveness in all stat categories on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
The Lakers will likely see a decline in opportunities in this game from competing against the 6th-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings).
The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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