Austin Reaves Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Rebounds

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 3:09 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+105/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has tallied 4.3 defensive rebounds per game this year at home, placing him among the NBA's leaders in this category recently: 84th percentile.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.
The Heat have allowed the least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Austin Reaves will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally increases stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA while traveling this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Los Angeles Lakers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 2ndworst in in the league with only 7.6 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

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