Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 4/30/2025

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 30, 2025

Updated May 1, 2025 1:48 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has made 4.0 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year.
Among all players in the league, Austin Reaves measures in the 95th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 35.2 minutes per game this year.
The matchup against Minnesota is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Timberwolves are away from home, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 4th-most threes per game in the league this year (2.6).
Austin Reaves has made a terrific 4.3 free throws per game this season, quite a bit more than his 3.0 rate last season.
As a team, the Los Angeles Lakers have been very successful at getting to the charity stripe as the home team: 2nd-best in the league this year with 24.0 foul shots per game.

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has been called for 2.9 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 more than he's been called for in all games this year.
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.
The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease plays for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.