Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 4/27/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 27, 2025

Updated Apr 27, 2025 7:41 PM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-103/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has made 3.5 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's converted from three over the course of the season.
Austin Reaves has averaged 35.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 95th percentile.
In terms of offense, the Los Angeles Lakers's terrific 115.1 points per game without the home court advantage rates 9th-most in the league over the last 20 games.
Austin Reaves has successfully made 5.7 foul shots per game over the last 15 games on the road, 1.4 higher than he's made overall this year on the road.
Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 3.6 foul shots per game (6th-highest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 1.3 threes per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, resulting in a hard matchup.
The 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Lakers.
The Lakers will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 4thworst in in the league with just 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.