Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 4/22/2025

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 22, 2025

Updated Apr 23, 2025 1:58 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has successfully made 4.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.4 more than he's sunk over the course of the season with the home court advantage.
Austin Reaves has averaged 35.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 95th percentile.
The matchup vs. Minnesota is a strong one for threes; when the Timberwolves are away from home, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most treys per game in the NBA this year (2.6).
Austin Reaves has made a whopping 4.4 foul shots per game this year, a big improvement over his 3.0 rate last year.
As a team, the Los Angeles Lakers have been very successful at drawing fouls at home: 2nd-best in the league this year, totaling 24.1 free throws per game.

Favors Under

The Lakers have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games as the home team.
The Lakers will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from competing against the 2nd-slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 4thworst in in the league with a mere 9.7 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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