Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2025

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets · Apr 11, 2025

Updated Apr 12, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-111/-116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has made 4.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season.
Austin Reaves has been on the court for 35.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 95th percentile.
The Lakers have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
Austin Reaves has converted 5.4 free throws per game over the last 15 games at home, 1.0 more than he's made over the course of the season at home.
Austin Reaves will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to improve stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Houston Rockets is a hard one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs over the last 20 games (12.6).
The 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Lakers.
The Lakers will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 9th-most sluggish tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Houston Rockets).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 4thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Rockets, struggling to draw fouls.

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