Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 4/3/2025

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 3, 2025

Updated Apr 4, 2025 2:04 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has converted 9.0 buckets per game over the last 10 games, 2.5 more than he's sunk over the course of the year.
Austin Reaves has been on the court for 34.5 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
Austin Reaves has sunk 5.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's converted overall this year.
As a team, the Los Angeles Lakers have been great at getting to the charity stripe while on their home court: 3rd-best in the league this year with 24.2 free throws per game.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.2 free throws per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The matchup vs. Golden State is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Golden State Warriors are away from home, the other team's starting SGs have posted the lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (21.6%).
The 8th-slowest tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Lakers.
The Lakers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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