Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 3/19/2025

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 19, 2025

Updated Mar 20, 2025 2:00 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-134/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has logged 28.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 8.4 more than he's logged overall this year.
Austin Reaves has successfully made 3.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.
Among all players in the league, Austin Reaves measures in the 93rd percentile for playing time, posting a massive 34.3 minutes per game at home this year.
The Lakers are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from being pitted against the 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
In regard to getting to the foul line, the Lakers's terrific 24.5 free throws per game while playing at home comes in as the best in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

Over the last 25 games, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 15.6 points per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, resulting in a hard matchup for offensive output.
The 7th-slowest pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Lakers check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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