Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2025

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 14, 2025

Updated Mar 15, 2025 3:00 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-129/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has logged 23.2 points per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 4.7 more than he's logged in all games this season on the road.
Out of all players in the NBA, Austin Reaves registers in the 94th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 34.4 minutes per game this year.
Austin Reaves has successfully made 6.5 free throws per game over the last 15 games, 2.2 higher than he's sunk in all games this year.
As it relates to getting to the charity stripe, the Lakers's superb 23.2 foul shots per game rates 4th-best in the NBA this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 6.2 free throws per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have shot 20.5% on threes (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, labeling this as a challenging matchup.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA when playing away from home this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the 10th-least up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Austin Reaves will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to lower player performance for all stats.