Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2025

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Boston Celtics vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 8, 2025

Updated Mar 9, 2025 5:00 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-139/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has posted 23.4 points per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 5.1 more than he's posted in all games this year on the road.
Among all players in the league, Austin Reaves slots into the 93rd percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, averaging 7.0 per game this year.
Austin Reaves has been on the court for 34.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 93rd percentile.
This year when they are away from home, opposing starting SGs have averaged 6.8 3-point attempts per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, creating a good matchup.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 4th-least aggressive team in the NBA on the road this year has been the Lakers.
The faceoff with Jrue Holiday lands in the 10th percentile with the other team's starting SGs sinking only 29.2% of their shots from downtown this year when they are away from home.
The Lakers have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Celtics have played at the slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce plays for the Lakers.
The matchup against Boston may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.4 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Boston Celtics have the home court advantage (least in the league).

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